Rockets vs. Warriors Best bets: Odds, predictions, recent stats, trends for April 28

Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors Preview

It’s Monday, April 28, and the Houston Rockets (52-30) and Golden State Warriors (48-34) are all set to square off from Chase Center in San Francisco.

The Warriors have a 2-1 series lead after a fourth-quarter comeback in the last game.

Jimmy Butler's status for tonight's game remains uncertain, but should he be unavailable, Quinten Post could be back in the starting line.

The Rockets are currently 23-17 on the road with a point differential of 5, while the Warriors have a 6-4 record in their last ten games at home.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Rockets vs. Warriors live today

• Date: Monday, April 28, 2025
• Time: 10:00PM EST
• Site: Chase Center
• City: San Francisco, CA
• Network/Streaming: TNT

Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.

Game odds for Rockets vs. Warriors

The latest odds as of Monday:

• Odds: Rockets (+141), Warriors (-169)
• Spread:  Warriors -3.5
• Over/Under: 203 points

That gives the Rockets an implied team point total of 100.77, and the Warriors 102.6.

Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports’ Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!

Expert picks & predictions for Monday’s Rockets vs. Warriors game

NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

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Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas) is betting on Jalen Green over 17.5 points:

Thomas: "Jalen Green is going to need a big effort tonight if his team plans on leveling it before they head back to Houston. Green has missed this number in two of the games in this series, so proceed with caution. However, he will have to take more than 11 field goal attempts if he expects to lead his team to a win."

Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s Rockets & Warriors game:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Golden State Warriors on the Moneyline.
• Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Golden State Warriors at -3.5.
• Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 203.

Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today’s calendar!

Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Rockets vs. Warriors on Monday

• The Warriors' average winning margin in two home wins against the Rockets this season is +8.5
• Each of the Rockets' last three road games with the Warriors have stayed under the Total
• The Rockets have covered the spread in five of their last seven away games against teams with better records

The Rockets suffered one of their characteristic shooting droughts in the second half of game three, losing a double digit lead to go down 104-93. Steph Curry was at his best, scoring 36 points - more than double the next-highest contribution. With more consistent shooting, Houston can hit back.

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

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Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)

- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)

- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)

- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)